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What each model says
| kn | Today | 18 Sun | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 09 | 12 | 15 | 18 | |
| Velmonda blend | 14 | 21 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
| DWD ICON EUregional | 10 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| ECMWF IFSregional | 16 | 17 | 20 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| UKMO GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC 10KMregional | 11 | 14 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| MÉTÉO-FRANCE ARPEGE EUROPEregional | 10 | 14 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| DWD ICONregional | 11 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| GFS SEAMLESSregional | 17 | 20 | 23 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| GEM GLOBALregional | 15 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| ECMWF AIFS025 SINGLEglobal | 17 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
outside rangeclosein rangestrong
Raw wind from each model, three-hourly. The top row is the Velmonda blend, the corrected number we actually publish. A dot means the model gives no value for that hour.
Velmonda blend
±3.5 kn
+3.0 kn · 505 h
The blend is corrected against measurements here; the models below are raw. That correction is part of why the blend wins; the comparison between the models themselves is fair.
Compare the models
| Model | off by | bias | hours |
|---|---|---|---|
| GEM GLOBALregional · 15 km | ±2.1 | +0.1 · reads high | 271 |
| ECMWF IFSregional · 9 km | ±2.3 | -1.4 · reads low | 500 |
| ECMWF AIFS025 SINGLEglobal · 25 km | ±2.4 | +0.3 · reads high | 505 |
| DWD ICONregional · 11 km | ±2.7 | -2.1 · reads low | 505 |
| MÉTÉO-FRANCE ARPEGE EUROPEregional · 11 km | ±2.8 | -1.9 · reads low | 505 |
| DWD ICON EUregional · 7 km | ±2.8 | -2.3 · reads low | 505 |
| UKMO GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC 10KMregional · 10 km | ±3.3 | -2.3 · reads low | 271 |
| GFS SEAMLESSregional · 13 km | ±3.7 | +1.8 · reads high | 505 |
| ECMWF IFS025 | ±3.9 | -3.2 · reads low | 244 |
GEM GLOBAL is the closest raw model at this spot right now (±2.1 kn).