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What each model says
| kn | Today | 17 Sat | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 09 | 12 | 15 | 18 | |
| Velmonda blend | 18 | 25 | 23 | 23 | 14 | 27 | 32 | 29 |
| DWD ICON EUregional | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 13 |
| ECMWF IFSregional | 16 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 18 | 21 | 18 |
| UKMO GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC 10KMregional | 19 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 19 | 23 | 22 |
| MÉTÉO-FRANCE ARPEGE EUROPEregional | 20 | 20 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 22 | 17 |
| DWD ICONregional | 15 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 17 |
| GFS SEAMLESSregional | 22 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 14 | 19 | 20 | 19 |
| GEM GLOBALregional | 17 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 19 |
| ECMWF AIFS025 SINGLEglobal | 18 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 18 |
outside rangeclosein rangestrong
Raw wind from each model, three-hourly. The top row is the Velmonda blend, the corrected number we actually publish. A dot means the model gives no value for that hour.
Velmonda blend
±7.0 kn
+6.5 kn · 604 h
The blend is corrected against measurements here; the models below are raw. That correction is part of why the blend wins; the comparison between the models themselves is fair.
Compare the models
| Model | off by | bias | hours |
|---|---|---|---|
| MÉTÉO-FRANCE ARPEGE EUROPEregional · 11 km | ±2.3 | +0.6 · reads high | 604 |
| ECMWF IFSregional · 9 km | ±2.4 | -1.2 · reads low | 504 |
| GEM GLOBALregional · 15 km | ±2.6 | +0.8 · reads high | 274 |
| DWD ICONregional · 11 km | ±2.9 | -2.2 · reads low | 604 |
| ECMWF AIFS025 SINGLEglobal · 25 km | ±2.9 | -0.7 · reads low | 604 |
| ECMWF IFS025 | ±3.1 | -2.7 · reads low | 340 |
| DWD ICON EUregional · 7 km | ±3.2 | -3.0 · reads low | 604 |
| UKMO GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC 10KMregional · 10 km | ±3.5 | +2.4 · reads high | 274 |
| GFS SEAMLESSregional · 13 km | ±3.8 | +2.8 · reads high | 604 |
MÉTÉO-FRANCE ARPEGE EUROPE is the closest raw model at this spot right now (±2.3 kn).