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Last 30 days
86%
calls right
±2.3 kn
average error
22% of these 370 hours measured under 12 kn. A small average error earned mostly on calm hours is not strong-wind skill: judge each wind by its own row below.
Alizés (the trades) on its own: ±2.1 kn over 225 measured hours.
A call counts as right when forecast and anemometer agreed on which side of 12 kn the hour fell. Measured pairs only; sheltered sensors are excluded.
Last 14 days
- 22 03
- 18 04
- 14 05
- 14 06
- 24 07
- 22 08
- 24 09
- 17 10
- 17 11
- 18 12
- 18 13
- 19 14
- 18 15
- 19 16
Dot: the call we published. Number: the measured peak that day, in kn. An outline means no call was published or nothing was measured.
By wind
| Alizés (the trades) | 94% | ±2.1 | 225 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chergui | 72% | ±2.0 | 36 |
The biggest miss
Friday, October 9 at 09:00: we said 14 kn, it blew 24 kn.
The correction has moved since: +2.72 kn is now applied (refitted 2026-10-17).
About this forecast
Computed from the last 30 days of frozen forecasts paired against wind measured at this spot: the same pairs the calibration fits on. Sheltered or unverified sensors are excluded.