Velmonda

Dakhla

The lagoon camp strip

kitewingwindsurf

Looking at Thursday, October 22

Go · Alizés (the trades) · 12–18 kn · 08:00–20:00

Models split: 5 of 6 agree, low confidence

AIFS 7 · ICON 9 · ECMWF IFS 13 · GEM 17 · GFS 17 · UKMO 19 kn

Go
“Go”: a rideable window long enough to count. “Marginal”: it might work, not for long enough to promise. “No wind”: nothing rideable today. “Not yet”: too far out, or the models still disagree. Drawn as an outline, never a colour. The small line underneath says where the number comes from: which models, whether they are corrected against wind measured at this spot, and whether what you see was measured or forecast.

Chergui stays in your range from 08:00 to 20:00.

Model ensemble · tuned on 482 measured sessions here · forecast, not measured what that means

Same call as last night

10–17kn 08:00–20:00

Chergui · E/SE · Offshore 156°

Hour by hour
Each bar is one hour's forecast, coloured by your range: solid inside it, amber just short or gusty, muted outside. On a day nothing reaches your range, nothing takes a colour: there is data, and it is honestly short. Gusty hours are demoted: when the jump between mean and gust is big, an in-range hour shows amber. Here the spread, not the average, decides the day.

08:0014:0020:00

Peak 17 kn at 19:00.

Thermal build
Two questions, answered separately: is the thermal setting up (the label), and does it build far enough for your minimum (the fill)? It can honestly set up and still stop short; then the gauge turns amber and the sentence names the gap.
Setting up

peaks at 17 kn · 537 W/m²

Water
22°
Air
30°
Suit
Shorty, or lycra at midday
Morning
24°
Midday
30°
Afternoon
33°
Evening
27°

Wind angle

Offshore

Blowing off the beach. It will carry you away from the shore. Do not go without cover.

Rising · next low 22:00
Tide
The curve is today's water level; the marker is now. The times are the next high and low water. Tide gets a card here because it genuinely changes the session at this spot; where it doesn't, no card is shown.

Rising · -0.4 m · range 0.9 m

Next high
16:000.2 m
Next low
22:00-0.6 m

The tide redraws the lagoon twice a day. Low water bares long sandbanks and a long walk out at the camps, and it is the ONLY time the Speed Spot exists: a bank blocks the chop and leaves a glassy strip. Mid to rising tide is the comfortable window on the main lagoon.

Local knowledge

The Speed Spot is a low-tide bank with the wind blowing offshore over it, and the water goes deep immediately on the outside. If you cannot hold ground upwind you drift into the open lagoon with nothing to stop you. Ride it with the camps' boat cover, never alone, and not as a beginner.

The bottom is sand, but it carries shell beds.

The bottom is sand, but it carries shell beds. Booties save the walk out at low tide and your feet in the shallows.

About riding DakhlaDakhla is a 37 km desert lagoon on the Western Sahara coast, and the kite-camp strip on…

Dakhla is a 37 km desert lagoon on the Western Sahara coast, and the kite-camp strip on its northern shore is the reason people fly here: waist-deep flat water, a trade wind the camps advertise as blowing 70-80% of days, and nothing on the horizon but the white dune. The alizes blow down the lagoon's long axis, light in the morning and reinforced hard by the desert thermal after midday.

Read the full guide
How good is this forecast±3.0 kn

Tuned on 482 measured sessions at this spot, average error 3.0 kn. The correction refits itself nightly. Averaged over every scored hour here, calm ones included. The per-wind rows on the full record are the numbers to plan a session on.

Full track record

Measured, never assumed: every forecast is frozen when published and scored against wind measured at this spot. The figure is the average error over recent measured sessions here, and no other spot's number is ever borrowed.

About this forecastModel ensemble · tuned on 482 measured sessions here · forecast, not measured

No openly available high-resolution weather model covers this spot (some commercial sites run private local models). The forecast runs on continental and global models, which resolve the coastline more coarsely; expect a wider margin than at a spot with a local model.

No live wind sensor here yet. The number above is forecast, not measured.